Democrats had an election night to forget last month. They lost the presidency and a net of two governor’s mansions,1 and gained fewer seats in the House and Senate than was expected. But those disappointments didn’t all occur the same way. Although the Senate elections were among the most nationalized […] Read more »
Governors: 2017/2018 Race Ratings
The 38 Governors races on the ballot in 2017 and 2018 may end up being the biggest story of the cycle. There is a lot at stake for both parties as most of the Governors elected this cycle will be in office in 2021 when the next round of redistricting […] Read more »
Can the Democratic Party rise again? Yes — and here’s the first big thing to watch.
If you care about whether the Democratic Party can rebuild itself anytime soon out of the smoking wreckage left behind by the disastrous 2016 elections, something very important is happening a lot sooner than you think. There are more than three dozen gubernatorial races taking place in the next two […] Read more »
16 For ’16: Bite-sized observations on a wild election
Now that we’ve had a week to digest the results of the 2016 election, here are some observations about what happened and what the results might tell us about the future: 1. Electoral map tilts to the GOP In close elections, the Electoral College will probably continue to tilt to […] Read more »
Field Poll: Newsom emerges as frontrunner in California governor’s race
Nostalgic for the barrage of TV ads and pundit commentary about the 2016 election? Take heart: The horse race for the wide-open California governor’s race — in 2018 — has already begun. And the front-runner is the most familiar name: Gavin Newsom, who has made no secret about his quest […] Read more »
Mea Culpa, Mea Culpa, Mea Maxima Culpa
We thought the signs pointed to Hillary Clinton winning the White House. We thought that even if she lost Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio, her Midwestern “firewall” of states that not only had voted for Barack Obama twice, but hadn’t voted for a Republican since the 1980s, would hold for […] Read more »