A solid majority of Californians favor providing parents with tax-funded vouchers to send their children to any school they choose. At the same time, most give their local public schools good grades. These are among the key findings of a statewide survey on education released today by the Public Policy […] Read more »
Initial 2018 Gubernatorial Ratings: Competitive races abound as GOP plays defense in many open seats
Those looking for electoral drama in the 2018 cycle should pay attention to the 38 gubernatorial races being held this year and next. In our initial ratings of these contests, more than half of them — 20 of 38 — start in the competitive Toss-up or Leans Republican/Democratic categories. That […] Read more »
Forget Kansas. This chart shows why Republicans need to worry about 2018
Political Washington is in the midst of a heated debate over what — if anything — the somewhat-closer-than-expected special election in Kansas on Tuesday means for next November’s midterm elections. No matter where you come down on that question — I think there were clear warning signs for Republicans in […] Read more »
Is Trump Or Brownback To Blame For The Surprisingly Close Race In Kansas 4?
Everyone is fighting about Kansas. In particular, what it means that Republican Ron Estes won the U.S. House special election in Kansas’s 4th Congressional District on Tuesday over Democrat James Thompson by just 7 percentage points. CONT. Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
11 Things I Think I Think After the Kansas 4 Special Election
After a few months in the electoral desert, we finally have election results to digest from a competitive race, albeit an unexpected one. State Treasurer Ron Estes pulled out a 53-46 percent victory to keep the 4th District of Kansas in Republican hands. The 7-point margin is shocking considering Donald […] Read more »
California: Gavin Newsom remains early leader for governor
Lieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom continues to hold the early lead in statewide voter preferences for governor in 2018. Newsom is currently the choice of 28% of registered voters when paired against four other announced candidates — Republican businessman John Cox and three fellow Democrats, former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, […] Read more »