Roy Moore was a uniquely flawed and vulnerable candidate. But what should worry Republicans most about his loss to Democrat Doug Jones in Tuesday’s Alabama Senate race was how closely the result tracked with the GOP’s big defeats last month in New Jersey and Virginia—not to mention how it followed […] Read more »
Iowa Poll: Most approve of job Reynolds is doing, but nearly half want another governor
Just more than half of Iowans approve of the job Gov. Kim Reynolds is doing, but nearly as many are ready for someone new to hold the governor’s office, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows. … Fifty-one percent of Iowans say they approve of the job Reynolds is […] Read more »
Will President Trump be a drag on Republicans running in 2018?
The Post’s polling team analyzed Virginia’s 2017 gubernatorial race to see if a “Trump effect” was at play. Washington Post Read more »
From Virginia to …
Virginia victories provided Democrats with a needed psychological shot in the arm. … The wailing of the commentariat notwithstanding, in truth, this year’s special elections hold out even more hope for big Democratic gains in 2018 than Virginia and New Jersey, even though Democrats lost several of the high-profile specials. […] Read more »
Presidential-Gubernatorial Race Splits and Party Voting in 2016
While down-ballot ticket races such as Senate and House elections have become increasingly nationalized–closely correlating with state presidential vote–gubernatorial elections have not followed this path as much. As Harry Enten detailed using 2012 presidential vote and 2014 gubernatorial vote totals, several states went for presidential and gubernatorial candidates of different […] Read more »
Historic turnout of young voters in Virginia election poses problem for Republicans
As bad as the overall outcome of Virginia’s recent election was for Republicans, there was one facet of the vote that raises special alarm for the party’s future. That’s the performance of young voters, who came out in historic numbers and overwhelmingly cast their ballots for the Democratic candidate for […] Read more »