Presidential Approval Up After Last Three States of Union

As President Donald Trump prepares to give the State of the Union address, he is hoping to reap some political benefit from it, as has occurred after the past three such addresses. Trump, in 2018, and Barack Obama, in 2015 and 2016, saw modest two- to four-percentage-point increases in approval […] Read more »

Could Howard Schultz Help Re-elect the President?

At this point in the 1992 election cycle, George H.W. Bush’s approval rating was over 80 percent. A little more than a year later, he trailed the independent candidate Ross Perot in national polls. So it is probably premature to confidently assess whether there’s an opening for Howard Schultz, a […] Read more »

Why Trump will likely lose the government shutdown

President Donald Trump on the South Lawn of the White House. AP Photo/Alex Brandon John A. Tures, Lagrange College One of the biggest myths about government shutdowns is that presidents usually win. This may explain why President Donald Trump threatened to continue the shutdown for months, even years. However, a […] Read more »

How George H.W. Bush enabled the rise of the religious right

Following Wednesday’s state funeral for George H.W. Bush at Washington National Cathedral, the former president’s casket will be flown to Houston where a memorial service will be held at St. Martin’s Episcopal Church the following day. Unlike his son George W. Bush, the elder Bush, a lifelong Episcopalian, was less […] Read more »

Bush Made Willie Horton an Issue in 1988, and the Racial Scars Are Still Fresh

The tributes to former President George Bush in recent days have focused on his essential decency and civility, and his embrace of others, including even his onetime opponents. But the “last gentleman,” as he has been called, was not always so gentle. Mr. Bush’s successful campaign for the presidency in […] Read more »