The Democratic presidential primary is starting to feel less like a political contest and more like an existential experiment. In the era of big data and after a year of micro-analyzing every little twist and turn, we seem to know less than we did at the beginning. In an era […] Read more »
Socialism and Atheism Still U.S. Political Liabilities
More than nine in 10 Americans say they would vote for a presidential candidate nominated by their party who happened to be black, Catholic, Hispanic, Jewish or a woman. Such willingness drops to eight in 10 for candidates who are evangelical Christians or are gays or lesbians. Between six and […] Read more »
She’s the Next President. Wait, Did You Read That Right?
… Her. It’s a three-letter pronoun that, despite the seemingly endless debate over whether a woman can become president, feels relatively benign. But what if its use, or an unconscious aversion to its use, had some small power to influence voter perception? Could something as simple as a pronoun reflect, […] Read more »
Guns and the Suburbs
… Not all that long ago, the idea that laws to restrict gun rights would not only pass the Virginia legislature, but would be broadly popular in the Commonwealth, was unthinkable. … The conventional wisdom back in the early part of the 2000s was that a Democrat could only get […] Read more »
CNN poll: Bernie Sanders surges to join Biden atop Democratic presidential pack
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has improved his standing in the national Democratic race for president, joining former Vice President Joe Biden in a two-person top tier above the rest of the field, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. The poll marks the first time Biden has not […] Read more »
The Electoral Cases For — And Against — The Four Leading Democrats
In a live recording, the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew debates the electoral cases of the four leading candidates in the Democratic primary. They also discuss the concept of electability and whether voters are biased against voting for a woman for president. Plus, they play a round of “Guess What Americans […] Read more »