Earlier this week, news emerged about a whistleblower complaint from within the intelligence community raising alarm about a phone call in which President Donald Trump may have pressured Ukrainian government officials to investigate a potential 2020 political rival, former Vice President Joe Biden. … In a survey conducted as part […] Read more »
If This Is Trump’s Best Case, The Ukraine Scandal Is Looking Really Bad For Him
Sometimes, when a news story is still unfolding in real time, we can’t do much better than to hazard a guess about how it will affect the polls. Of course, we can also not hazard a guess — that is, not say anything about it at all. But given that […] Read more »
Why public support for impeachment may grow
During the course of President Donald Trump’s administration, a minority of Americans have been for impeaching him. Just this past May, CNN found that 41% of Americans wanted to impeach and remove the President from office. But as House Democrats launch a formal impeachment inquiry into the President, that percentage […] Read more »
What Polling Can Tell Us About Impeachment (and What It Can’t)
A majority of Americans have long opposed impeaching President Trump. Whether that will change, and what happens if it doesn’t, are some of many factors that will shape the political consequences for both parties. The risk to Democrats had been straightforward: With impeachment so unpopular, pursuing it would turn the […] Read more »
Impeaching Trump On Russia Was Unpopular. Will Ukraine Be Different?
Rather suddenly, we are on a trajectory toward the potential impeachment of President Trump. … A majority of House Democrats had already expressed a desire to impeach Trump over his conduct toward Russia in the 2016 campaign and his handling of the Russia investigation, but the list of pro-impeachment Democrats […] Read more »
Are Democrats Ready To Impeach Trump?
Democrats are once again talking about whether to impeach President Trump after news broke that Trump may have asked the Ukrainian president to dig up dirt on former Vice President Joe Biden’s son, Hunter. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether the Ukraine story changes […] Read more »