By 52-44 percent, voters across six battleground states oppose impeaching and removing President Donald Trump from office according to a new The New York Times Upshot/Siena College (SCRI) poll of registered voters in Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. But, by 52-44 percent, voters across the six states […] Read more »
Another new poll shows the extent of the overlap between Fox News and defenders of Trump
One of the features about Suffolk University polling that I appreciate the most is that it includes a question asking people which news or commentary source they trust the most. It’s a small data point but a useful one, allowing us to overlap news outlet confidence with political views. In […] Read more »
Job Approval Dips, Unfavorable Feelings Climb for President Trump
More than half of U.S. residents say their feelings towards President Donald Trump have become “more unfavorable” since he took office according to the newest edition of the Grinnell College National Poll, released Oct. 29, 2019. The poll, a partnership between Grinnell College and nationally renowned pollster J. Ann Selzer […] Read more »
Baghdadi’s death won’t save Trump from his political problems
… Most of the drops and increases in Trump’s overall approval rating can be traced back to policy success and failures, not big cultural clashes. Trump loses people when he shuts down the government or pushes unpopular legislation — and he may gain support when he takes out prominent foreign […] Read more »
What Should Senate Republicans Do About Impeachment?
What is the savviest political strategy on impeachment for Republicans in the Senate? In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew tries to answer that question in a new edition of FiveThirtyEight Debate. Each member of the team was assigned a position and then tried to poke holes […] Read more »
Why Trump may not see a sustained political boost from Baghdadi’s death
… We have a recent moment that seems as though it should provide some useful guidance on this question: the 2011 raid that resulted in the death of 9/11 mastermind Osama bin Laden. President Barack Obama’s approval rating rose seven points over the course of a week, driven in part […] Read more »