Presidential Candidates and Competency

President Donald Trump and his campaign strategists are clearly focusing his reelection campaign largely on the premise that Trump is a highly competent leader who has kept his promises and completed a long list of accomplishments. Much of Trump’s reelection website is given over to “Promises Kept,” with detailed descriptions […] Read more »

Americans say Soleimani’s killing made U.S. less safe, Trump ‘reckless’ on Iran

Americans by more than 2-1 say the killing of Iranian Gen. Qasem Soleimani has made the United States less safe, a nationwide USA TODAY/Ipsos Poll finds, amid broad concerns about the potential consequences ahead. A majority of those surveyed, by 52%-34%, called Trump’s behavior with Iran “reckless.” CONT. Susan Page, […] Read more »

Foreign Policy Doesn’t Usually Affect Elections. Could Iran Be Different?

The American-ordered drone strike that killed one of Iran’s most powerful military leaders, Qassem Soleimani, has triggered retaliation from Iran and put American troops in the Middle East on heightened alert. It has also brought foreign policy to the top of the news cycle. How events unfold from here is […] Read more »

Is killing Soleimani a game changer for Democrats?

… Hard as it may be to believe in the white heat of the moment, when D.C. is consumed with the story, history suggests the greatest likelihood is that it won’t have any discernable impact. Political scientists Lynn Vavreck and John Sides identified 68 events labeled “game changers” in 2012, […] Read more »