The Border Between Red and Blue America

The suburbs are up for grabs. Anybody who’s paying attention to the 2020 election knows that. But there’s a more fundamental question: Just what are the suburbs anyway? In a statistical sense, they are surprisingly hard to define. The United States Census Bureau, the primary source of demographic data, doesn’t […] Read more »

Why Trump’s Favorite 2016 Map Should Scare Him

This week, as President Donald Trump went on the offensive to bolster his case against impeachment, he tweeted a county-by-county map of the 2016 presidential race that showed a vast sea of red interrupted only by a few blue inlets, mostly along the coasts. The map, captioned with the headline […] Read more »

Texas’ biggest metro areas may tip America’s balance of power in the years ahead

The fast-growing metropolitan areas of Texas are moving to the front line of the battle between the two major political parties for control of the nation’s direction. Texas has been a linchpin of the Republican Party’s national strength for a generation. But in 2018, Democrats recorded their most significant gains […] Read more »

The places that will decide the 2018 midterm elections

Red pockets. Romneyland. Blue-collar blues. Those labels describe the three groups of seats in the House of Representatives that will likely determine control of the chamber in November’s midterm election. … This battlefield reflects the long-term trends that have seen Democrats demonstrate increasing strength up and down the ballot in […] Read more »

Trump’s First Year: The Exurbs

At the one-year anniversary of Donald Trump’s inauguration, the American Communities Project is using 2017 data from Gallup to analyze how different kinds of communities have viewed the president’s job performance. Where are his strengths and weaknesses as year two begins? CONT. Dante Chinni, American Communities Project Read more »