To recover from their debacle in the midterm elections, Democrats have seized on two questionable propositions: They lost mainly because of President Barack Obama’s unpopularity, and the 2016 presidential election will be more favorable. … Turnout, exit polls and other data suggest another Achilles’ heel for Democrats: the lack of […] Read more »
The Clinton-Warren Binary
… Despite all the talk about a “yearning” for a more liberal candidate from the Democratic base, we see no evidence – at least at this point – that liberals are unhappy with Hillary Clinton. She scored an 88 percent favorable rating among “solid liberals” in Pew’s Typology Poll. Compare […] Read more »
Did the GOP make inroads with the Latino vote?
The conservative National Review declared, “Republicans made historic gains across the country on [election day], including significant progress with minority voters.” The Houston Chronicle and Fox News Latino similarly pronounced Latino voters having a large voting preference for Republicans in Texas, Kansas, and Georgia. But these claims are based on […] Read more »
The 7 most fascinating numbers in the 2014 national exit poll
The best thing about elections — if you are a numbers nerd like me — is the massive amount of raw data about the American public and what/how/why they think what they do. Yes, only 36 percent-ish of eligible voters cast ballots 15 days ago, but that still amounts to […] Read more »
What 2014 does — and does not — tell us about Asian Americans’ voting
As midterm elections drew to a close on Election Day, news outlets released the final results of exit polls from the National Election Pool, which showed Asian-American voters about evenly split on their congressional ballots. This prompted celebration among some Republicans, who noted that the Republican vote among Asian Americans […] Read more »
The Demise of the White Democratic Voter
… There is an ongoing debate among politicians, political scientists and partisans of both parties over the dismal support of Democratic candidates among whites. Does it result from ideological differences, racial animosity or a perception among many whites that they are excluded from a coalition of minorities, the poor, single […] Read more »