As the dust settles from Super Tuesday, we think the race is the same now as it was before the voting: Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are the favorites to win their respective nominations. … Trump won coming and going. It wasn’t just adding at least seven states and a […] Read more »
Profoundly Polarized Electorates Call the Tune for Trump, Clinton
Profoundly polarized Democratic and Republican electorates called the tune on Super Tuesday, with demand for a plain-speaking outsider again lifting Donald Trump in the GOP race, while Democrats motivated by the opposite priority – political experience – boosted Hillary Clinton. Combined results across the nine primaries held Tuesday night underscore […] Read more »
Black Voters Boost Hillary Clinton To South Carolina Primary Win
Overwhelming support and record turnout among black voters and her best showing to date among whites gave Hillary Clinton a powerful victory in Saturday’s Democratic presidential primary in South Carolina. CONT. Gary Langer, with Gregory Holyk & Chad Kiewiet de Jonge, ABC News Read more »
South Carolina Democratic Primary Exit Poll Analysis
Today’s primary is the first to test the Democratic candidates’ popularity among a large number of black voters: Preliminary exit poll results indicate that blacks account for six in 10 South Carolina Democratic primary voters today, possibly on pace to break the state’s record, 55 percent in 2008 – more […] Read more »
Is Hillary losing the women’s vote? Nope. Here’s how the gender gap really works.
Is a gender gap between women’s and men’s votes helping Hillary Clinton win in the Democratic presidential primaries and caucuses? Media reports on this have misconstrued exactly how the gender gap works. For instance, news outlets are generally reporting that Clinton won the women’s vote in Iowa and Nevada but […] Read more »
No Trump – you are not ‘number one with Hispanics’ in Nevada
Donald Trump won the Republican Nevada caucuses and in his victory speech Tuesday night he bragged about winning “the Hispanics” as he likes to say. He told his crowd of supporters “And you know what I’m really happy about? Number 1 with Hispanics!” However there are five very important points […] Read more »