Trump Probably Did Better With Latino Voters Than Romney Did

In the lead-up to the election, there was a lot of talk about how Latinos would turn out in record numbers to stop Donald Trump. But not only did Trump end up winning, exit polls also indicated that he won 29 percent of the Latino vote — better than Mitt […] Read more »

Behind Trump’s win in rural white America: Women joined men in backing him

In rural parts of America, it wasn’t just white men who flocked to the polls on Election Day to vote for Donald Trump. Rural white women were right there in the voting lines with them. The NBC News national exit poll documented how Trump and his populist message disproportionately appealed […] Read more »

16 For ’16: Bite-sized observations on a wild election

Now that we’ve had a week to digest the results of the 2016 election, here are some observations about what happened and what the results might tell us about the future: 1. Electoral map tilts to the GOP In close elections, the Electoral College will probably continue to tilt to […] Read more »

The education gap among whites this year wasn’t about education. It was about race.

Election swings are usually pretty uniform. States tend to shift together from one presidential election year to the next. Most demographic groups do as well. But there was one glaring exception this year: College-educated voters became a lot more Democratic and non-college educated voters became a lot more Republican. … […] Read more »

‘Demographics Aren’t Destiny’ And Four Other Things This Election Taught Me

The 2016 election is in the books. Donald Trump won; Hillary Clinton lost. But it will take a while — weeks and months — to sift through the results, so be wary of any stories drawing sweeping conclusions about the country (it’s still the same nation that elected President Obama […] Read more »