Public Opinion Strategies completed N=1600 interviews last night with 2020 voters. There is a lot more to learn and say about this election, but, here are five initial key takeaways from this work: CONT. Public Opinion Strategies The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and […] Read more »
Exit poll shows Biden gains in key groups, but with results awaiting the vote count
… Donald Trump improved in some gauges. Well fewer than half of voters, 44%, said he has the temperament to serve effectively as president – but that was up from 35% four years ago. And while 53% saw him unfavorably, that was down from 59% in 2016. At the same […] Read more »
AP VoteCast: Voters split on virus, economy, even football
As they chose a leader in a time of turmoil, supporters of President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden found little common ground on the top crises facing the nation. The divide between Republican and Democratic America cut across the economy, public health and racial justice, according to […] Read more »
A Q&A with a historian of presidential polls
Voters wait to cast their ballots Tuesday at Johnston Elementary School in the Wilkinsburg neighborhood of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Jeff Swensen/Getty Images W. Joseph Campbell, American University School of Communication “Epic miscalls and landslides unforeseen: The exceptional catalog of polling failure” is the headline on one of scholar W. Joseph Campbell’s […] Read more »
How the exit polls will work in a pandemic
… Exit polling traditionally involves interviews with a randomly selected sample of voters conducted as those voters leave their polling places. Unlike pre-election polling, where voters can only be identified using screening questions or a history of voting on a voter file, meeting voters where they are ensures that those […] Read more »
Asian Americans’ political preferences have flipped from red to blue
Asian American voters leave a Temple City, California, polling place in 2012, in the state’s first legislative district that is majority Asian American. Frederic J. Brown/AFP via Getty Images John A. Tures, LaGrange College Asian Americans used to be a reliable Republican voting bloc. But long before Kamala Harris, who […] Read more »