From much of the media coverage these days, you would think that the undisputed leaders of the Democratic Party are freshman Rep. Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez and—of course—Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, even though the constituents that elected them are limited to the 14th District of New York and the states […] Read more »
The Obama primary: Which Democrat can claim his legacy in 2020?
Sen. Kamala Harris has been called the “female Barack Obama.” Former Rep. Beto O’Rourke has been dubbed “Barack Obama, but white.” Sen. Cory Booker sings from the Obama hymnal of hope and optimism. Joe Biden, as Obama’s vice president, is closer to the former president than anyone running for the […] Read more »
How Left Will Democrats Go in 2020?
There are fewer and fewer things that Democrats and Republicans can agree upon these days. Increasingly, however, both are coming to the conclusion that Democrats are going to nominate the most left-leaning, liberal candidate for president, giving Trump his best (maybe only) opportunity to win in 2020. … But, there’s […] Read more »
Internal Schultz presidential polling shows him in double digits, eligible for debate stage
New internal polling from former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz shows him pulling about 17 percent of the vote in hypothetical presidential matchups between President Trump and either Democrat Kamala Harris or Elizabeth Warren. CONT. Ben Kamisar, NBC News WATCH: The #MTP panel discusses Howard Schultz’s potential presidential campaign and its […] Read more »
What Elizabeth Warren’s Last Election Can Tell Us About 2020
One of the many reasons I think New England is great is that its elections are conducted — and its results are reported — at the city/town level, not the county level. That lets psephologists like me study them in greater detail, and one election I’m particularly interested in is […] Read more »
How Elizabeth Warren Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
It’s as if we skipped right from 2018 to 2020. On Monday, Sen. Elizabeth Warren became the first major Democratic candidate to formally dip a toe in the water of the 2020 presidential campaign, announcing the creation of an exploratory committee. … For the first but certainly not the last […] Read more »