… Lifted by a hasty unity among center-left Democrats disinclined toward political revolution, Mr. Biden has propelled himself in the span of three days from electoral failure to would-be juggernaut. He has demonstrated durable strength with African-Americans and emerged as the if-everyone-says-so vessel for tactical voters who think little of […] Read more »
Biden’s Super Tuesday Test: Defending the South
Key Points • Joe Biden’s victory in South Carolina re-established him as the main challenger to Bernie Sanders. • There is some indication their battle could break on regional lines, with Sanders fighting for inroads in the South and Biden for access to the North. Biden’s task on Tuesday is […] Read more »
This Super Tuesday is impossible to predict
“Trust the polls” is the soothing mantra of the data nerd. While polls are snapshots of public opinion at a specific time, and they are fallible, in most circumstances, they represent the best picture of what America is thinking and are the most powerful predictor of eventual election results. But […] Read more »
Some Questions Already Seem Answered About Super Tuesday
It’s hard to remember an Election Day with so much uncertainty as voters go to the polls. And yet Joe Biden’s blowout win in South Carolina on Saturday — and subsequent steps toward consolidating the Democratic Party’s moderate wing — may have already answered many of the biggest questions about […] Read more »
Solid Hispanic support for Sanders could carry him to victory in California
Victory in the South Carolina primary gave a new oxygen to Joe Biden’s campaign, but one of the obstacles he will encounter in California is the immense support that Bernie Sanders has garnered among Hispanic voters there. According to a new state poll by Univision News, Latino Community Foundation and […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders Overtakes Joe Biden Before Super Tuesday: IBD/TIPP Poll
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has taken a narrow lead over Joe Biden in a nationwide poll of the Democratic primary battle, the March IBD/TIPP Poll finds. Elizabeth Warren is running a strong third, ahead of Michael Bloomberg. All four candidates held slight edges over President Donald Trump in head-to-head 2020 […] Read more »