In this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we dive deep into brand new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll results. Topping the rundown: perceptions of the Democratic candidates. In terms of favorability, Elizabeth Warren runs circles around her Democratic challengers among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, but attitudes shift when looking at the broader […] Read more »
What Happened When The Front-Runners Were All On Stage
The three polling leaders — Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders — shared a debate stage for the first time Thursday night. From the spin room floor in Houston, the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast broke down who came out on top and who struggled. FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Biden delivers the debate performance he needed, despite occasional missteps
With all the leading Democratic candidates on the same stage for the first time this year, former vice president Joe Biden on Thursday delivered the kind of performance his supporters have been waiting for — combative when needed and in the thick of the action throughout. Biden did not dominate […] Read more »
The third Democratic debate: Biden vs the rest
There were two headlines from last night’s debate. One surprise: The candidates not named Joe Biden got the message that attacking former President Obama might not be a great way of appealing to a Democratic electorate that reveres him. Less of a surprise: The debate did more to solidify the […] Read more »
Democratic Debate Analysis: Who Has the Right to Question Biden’s Competence?
It’s likely that even those analysts who love to declare winners, losers, and game-changing moments (a practice largely eschewed here at Honest Graft) won’t find all that much fodder in Thursday night’s Democratic debate. The biggest pre-debate media hype focused on the opportunity for a dramatic personal showdown between Joe […] Read more »
Democrats Lead Trump in Key Swing States
Each quarter this year, we have surveyed 2020 general election voters to gauge public opinion heading into 2020. This month we surveyed general election likely voters in the battleground states of Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan through a combination of live landline, live cell, and text messaging between September 7th and […] Read more »