It’s now been almost a week since House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced an official impeachment inquiry of President Trump. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew takes stock of how much public opinion has changed since Pelosi spoke and what polls tell us about the road ahead. […] Read more »
Will voters support Elizabeth Warren’s trade policy? Our research says yes.
… Recent trade deals between developed countries (the global North) and developing countries (the global South) have included labor and environmental standards that are just as legally binding and enforceable as the other parts within the deals. Both labor and environmental provisions have been effective in improving living standards in […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Democrats knotted in Nevada while Biden leads South Carolina
Joe Biden holds a wide lead in South Carolina, while the former vice president, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren are knotted up in Nevada, according to new CNN polls conducted by SSRS in the third and fourth states to cast ballots for the 2020 Democratic nomination. […] Read more »
Elizabeth Warren’s rising popularity has been limited to Democrats
… Warren seems to have the hot hand in the Democratic presidential primary. She’s challenging former Vice President Joe Biden for the lead in Iowa, New Hampshire and nationally. These numbers show that at least part of her rise is because she’s become more popular. However, her growing popularity does […] Read more »
Trump Stuck, Warren Surges
There seemed to be just two topics of conversation in terms of presidential politics this past weekend. First was the impact of accusations that President Trump suggested or pressured Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to investigate Joe Biden’s son Hunter’s business relationships in that country. The second was Elizabeth Warren pulling […] Read more »
Warren and Sanders are similar. Only one seems to know what it’ll take to win.
… Sanders and Warren have clear differences in style, emphasis and attitude toward our political systems that have helped them cultivate different, rather than interchangeable, bases of support in the 2020 primary. If either progressive wants to win in 2020, they need to do more than try to pick up […] Read more »