FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver looks at what polling says about the impact of age on the 2020 election. This Week, ABC News Read more »
How ‘White Guilt’ in the Age of Trump Shapes the Democratic Primary
… For years, prospective Democratic nominees came to Iowa to talk ethanol and pork subsidies and saved any rhetoric about the injustice of racial profiling for crowds in South Carolina and Nevada — the only early voting states where black and Latino voters made up a significant portion of the […] Read more »
CBS News Battleground Tracker: Warren extends lead across early states, New Hampshire and draws even with Biden in Iowa
Early-state Democratic voters say President Trump’s allegations against Joe Biden have not affected their views of Biden and largely think they aren’t true. Even so, it’s Elizabeth Warren who continues to draw support from Democrats. She has extended the aggregate lead she had in this poll last month across the […] Read more »
Why it’s Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren and then everybody else
… Right now, there’s little doubt that Biden and Warren are the top tier in the Democratic primary fight. With the exception of Sanders, no one is even close to Biden and Warren nationally. The question now is how likely are we to be looking at the potential nominee when […] Read more »
Why Populist Democrats Have Gained the Upper Hand in the 2020 Race
With a crucial debate looming next week in the Democratic presidential primary, the party’s populist wing appears increasingly in control of the race — rising in the polls, stocked with cash and with only a wounded leading candidate, Joseph R. Biden Jr., standing in its way. … Anna Greenberg, a […] Read more »
As Elizabeth Warren Rises, the G.O.P. Deploys an Old Tactic
President Trump and his allies have struggled for months to come up with effective ways to confront Senator Elizabeth Warren, whose steady rise in the polls put the lie to Mr. Trump’s boasts last spring that she was “finished” and “gone,” undone by her past claims of Native American ancestry. […] Read more »