… In every contested Democratic nomination race in this century, the winner of the Iowa caucuses has eventually won the nomination. That’s a measure of how much momentum candidates can earn, especially in this era of pervasive news coverage, from winning that kickoff contest. Conscious of that history, the leading […] Read more »
Little Reason to Think Republicans Will Abandon Trump Now
Despite the saying—usually misattributed to Albert Einstein—that “insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results,” it is a bit rash to declare crazy those who for three years have regularly predicted that the latest controversy or transgression would drive congressional Republicans to finally turn […] Read more »
Can Warren Beat Trump?
Chat with almost any political professional in and around Washington, and you find something of a consensus building on the following: 1. Elizabeth Warren is going to be the nominee.2. She’s going to have a hard time beating Trump. Last week, I spent time looking at the first point. Today, […] Read more »
Poll: Biden has a big lead. Another poll: Warren does. What’s going on?
On Wednesday morning, CNN published a new poll evaluating the state of the Democratic presidential primary fight. Former vice president Joe Biden had surged back into a healthy lead, enjoying a double-digit margin over Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who are jockeying for second. That was important […] Read more »
Joe Biden or Elizabeth Warren? New Polls Differ on Who’s Leading 2020 Race
Just over three months before Iowans caucus for Democratic presidential candidates, four polls out this week present a muddled picture of a primary race that is unfolding in varying, and sometimes conflicting, ways nationally and in early-voting states. A pair of new national polls present starkly different results. A CNN […] Read more »
Who’s the most electable Democrat? It might be Warren or Buttigieg, not Biden.
The biggest issue in the Democratic presidential primary isn’t health care or immigration or gun control. It’s electability. A strong majority of Democratic voters report that it’s more important that the party nominate a candidate who can beat President Trump than someone they agree with on the issues. … So […] Read more »