Are Democratic Voters Truly Divided by Ideology?

The four Democratic candidates at the top of the polls heading into the Iowa caucuses have been paired by pundits into what they like to call lanes. It’s a highway analogy, as in “stay in your lane.” One, seen as more progressive and liberal, contains Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. […] Read more »

With Iowa and New Hampshire still up in the air, Democratic race has 2016 echoes

… Given the wildly conflicting polls (and the difficulty in polling caucus attendees), we still can’t be certain who’ll win Iowa, what the order of finish will be or what the margins between candidates will look like. So there is a lot up in the air. On the other hand, […] Read more »

Sanders leads in California’s Democratic presidential primary

Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders is now the outright leader in voter preferences in California’s upcoming March 3rd Democratic presidential primary. The latest Berkeley IGS Poll completed last week finds Sanders to be the choice of 26% of likely voters in the Democratic primary. Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is second at […] Read more »

Meet the new top tier of Democratic contenders, same as the old top tier

The polling floodgates have finally opened! Over the past few days, Emerson, Marist, Suffolk, YouGov, the University of New Hampshire, Fox News, the New York Times and our very own Washington Post polls team have all released surveys of Democratic primary voters. This new data shows that, with less than […] Read more »

The Sanders Surge

In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew assesses Sen. Bernie Sanders’s improvement in state and national polls just one week before the Iowa caucuses. They also debate whether reporting on former National Security Advisor John Bolton’s new book will pressure Republican senators to call witnesses in President […] Read more »