The Great Wide Open: Democrats Remain Divided on Candidates, United in Opposing Trump

… Primary election narratives frequently center on ostensible divisions within a party because reporters, commentators, and analysts focus on the question of who voters plan to support. When a survey question asks voters to choose their top candidate, it often appears that they are rejecting the others. But many voters […] Read more »

Biden Leads Sanders In Democratic Race, But Trump Pulls Even: IBD/TIPP

Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a steady lead in the Democratic nomination battle, the late January IBD/TIPP Poll finds. Yet Biden’s support remains at a low point, and his advantage vs. President Donald Trump in the 2020 election has essentially disappeared. CONT. Jed Graham, Investor’s Business Daily Read more »

Sanders, Biden are neck-and-neck in new NBC/WSJ national poll

Just days before the first votes are counted in the Democratic primary, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal national poll finds Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden statistically tied at the top of the Democratic field. Sanders gets 27 percent support from Democratic primary voters around […] Read more »

The Iowa Caucuses Are In 4 Days. Almost Anything Could Still Happen.

As much as we try to remind you all about how uncertain elections can be — pleas that sometimes fall on deaf ears — it’s important to keep in mind in advance of the Iowa caucuses. To begin with, primaries are much harder to poll than general elections, and caucuses […] Read more »

Democrats’ Dilemma: Ideology, Electability, and the 2020 Presidential Nomination in Iowa and the Nation

Voters in primary elections generally have two major goals: advancing their policy preferences and winning the general election. This can lead to a dilemma when these goals are in conflict. For many voters in the 2020 Democratic presidential primaries and caucuses, that dilemma is very real. That is because of […] Read more »