As we move to Nevada, the third contest on the Democrats’ primary calendar, the picture of who the Democrats will nominate for president is as clear as mud. Here’s what we do know: Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg lead the delegate count (22 for Buttigieg to 21 for Sanders), the […] Read more »
Movin’ On
The Poll Hub team is movin’ on from New Hampshire but not before we assess the performance of the polls and the outcome of the Democratic presidential primary. What does it all mean as the candidates head West and South? We have our take. And, twenty-seven Marist College students joined […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders leaps to first among Texas Democrats in latest UT/TT Poll
U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders has doubled his support among Democratic voters in Texas and now leads the race for that party’s presidential nomination in Texas, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. Sanders had the support of 24% of the self-identified Democratic primary voters in the poll, up […] Read more »
A Contested Convention Becomes More Likely
This week, we deep-dive into the results from the New Hampshire primary. Then, as the campaigns go west, we get Harry’s Forecast for Nevada. Plus, we discuss Mike Bloomberg’s rise in recent polls, along with the renewed scrutiny from his time as New York City mayor. The Forecast Fest Read more »
For Sanders, New Hampshire was a Glass Both Half-Full and Half-Empty
In the wake of his victory in the New Hampshire primary, Bernie Sanders seemed to some like an unstoppable frontrunner. To others, he seemed like a spent force. That there is evidence backing up both arguments is a testament to the uncertainty of the Democratic race following the first-in-the-nation primary. […] Read more »
Failures of Punditry (and Polls)
Last month I wrote what I called my New Year’s “irresolutions” – a set of observations on the Democratic field that I cloaked in uncertainty. I promised to come back and identify those that were wrong. There are two standouts in that regard: (1) Joe Biden’s staying power is far […] Read more »