Consumer comfort fell last week for the first time in more than a month, ending its best quarter since the last U.S. recession began almost seven years ago on a sour note. The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index (COMFCOMF) fell to 36.4 in the week ended June 29, after posting gains […] Read more »
Democrats in trouble in Senate battleground states
This survey, the second Resurgent Republic survey in this election cycle, polled 1000 likely 2014 voters in twelve U.S. Senate battleground states, with respondents evenly distributed among the states just as U.S. Senate seats are distributed. … The political environment in these twelve states tilts strongly toward the Republicans. Several […] Read more »
Economic Pessimism Is Bigger Threat to Democrats
Among the most intractable problems for Democrats this cycle is the drop-off problem. Simply put, Democratic base voters (unmarried women, younger people, and minorities), don’t show up to vote in mid-terms. Meanwhile, the GOP base – namely older, white voters – do. There’s now a steady amount of evidence that […] Read more »
Women’s Economic Agenda: Powerful Impact on the Vote and Turnout in 2014
This is a turning point in the 2014 off-year elections when parties, candidates and leaders can recognize how central are unmarried women and the Rising American Electorate to the Democrats’ chances and how clear a path there is to get their votes and get them to vote. This is the […] Read more »
Is this Obama’s ‘malaise’ moment?
Malaise is back. President Barack Obama’s situation is getting perilously close to President Jimmy Carter’s in 1979. … Americans become deeply disturbed if they see events spinning out of control and their elected leaders incapable of managing them. That was the perception that doomed Carter. It is now becoming a […] Read more »
U.S. Economic Confidence Index Dips to -16
Gallup’s U.S. Economic Confidence Index lost another point last week, the third week in a row the index has dropped by one point. At -16 for the week ending June 22, the index is the lowest it’s been since April, although it remains in the narrow six-point range it has […] Read more »