One year out, the presidential election of 2016 appears wide open. Over the past four election cycles, American voters have yet to render a decisive verdict on partisan control of the federal government. … If Democrats are to retain the presidency in 2016, they will need to successfully transfer the […] Read more »
As Election Year Nears, Public Sees Mixed Economic Picture
The public’s views of the nation’s economy have shown little change throughout 2015. But Americans are less optimistic about how well the economy will fare over the next year than they were last January. CONT. Pew Read more »
Five Tables That Explain Rise of Trump and Durability of Anti-Establishment Message
To understand why a majority of GOP voters are currently supporting candidates who espouse a populist-heavy, anti-establishment message, you need to look no further than the data laid out below. This is a GOP electorate that is decidedly pessimistic, suspicious of social/cultural change and resistant to compromise. CONT. Amy Walter, […] Read more »
10 Factors That Will Determine the Next President
… What follows is an exploration of 10 factors that will probably determine the White House winner next year. Some of these — many of them, in fact — suggest that the GOP should be seen as a narrow favorite. But a few factors, combined with the live possibility that […] Read more »
Can This Really Be Donald Trump’s Republican Party?
… Rather than a European right-wing party, the current contest for the Republican nomination has produced a unique American phenomenon: Donald J. Trump. … The dynamic interaction of three current trends — voter anger over immigration, over offshoring and robotization, and over damage wrought by the economic meltdown of 2008 […] Read more »
Four Poll Findings That Should Concern Democrats Heading Into 2016
There is little holiday cheer in this country, nor a sense of peace on Earth or goodwill toward man, according to the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll. Behind these findings are four sets of numbers that Democrats should study if they hope to hold on to the White House. […] Read more »