Democrats continue to hold an advantage over Republicans heading into the midterms but must reassert control over the economic narrative if they are going to maximize electoral success in House, Senate and governors’ races this fall. For much of the past year Democrats have debated Republicans on tax reform and […] Read more »
A House forecast holds good news for Democrats
We’re far enough into the 2018 midterm election cycle that we have some sense of what the fundamentals of the political environment that will govern it look like. A pretty simple forecast model that relies on economic performance and presidential popularity predicts Democrats will pick up 45 to 50 House […] Read more »
As list of Trump White House scandals grows, so does women’s disapproval
As the number of scandals in the White House racks up, with accusations that now-former top aide Rob Porter abused his ex-wives being the latest, some women who voted for President Trump are walking away from him. … The most recent Washington Post-ABC poll has found that approval from white […] Read more »
Improving poll numbers give Republicans hope that the midterms might not be so bad
If it felt like a tsunami was headed for Republicans at the end of the year, now it’s looking more like a normal wave. Under the radar, a flurry of new public polls points to incremental improvements in GOP fortunes and challenges the narrative that has been gelling in most […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Census and Sensibility
Unlike his predecessors, President Donald Trump has tied his job performance to that of the stock market. With the Dow Jones plummeting at the beginning of the week, what does this mean for the president? Do Americans attribute the market’s ups and downs to him? Poll Hub breaks it down. […] Read more »
Wyoming, North Dakota, Utah Lead in Economic Confidence
Residents in three states — Wyoming, North Dakota and Utah — essentially tie as the most confident in the U.S. economy, based on their scores on Gallup’s Economic Confidence Index throughout 2017. In contrast, Vermont residents were least confident. CONT. Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup Read more »