While President Trump has remained nationally unpopular with a negative net approval rating, his approval rating on the economy has been consistently better. But as concerns over Trump’s trade war with China drive the stock market’s volatility, the president appears to be risking one of his greatest assets. In this […] Read more »
A Recession and the Fight for the Democratic Nomination
The possibility of a global economic slowdown and/or U.S. recession has lots of folks speculating on what it would mean for President Trump’s reelection prospects. Conventional wisdom assumes it would be a political death-blow to the President. Already struggling with anemic job approval ratings in what has been a solid […] Read more »
Trump 2020 can’t afford a recession
President Donald Trump’s main hope for reelection has been the economy. As I noted earlier this week, Trump’s approval on the economy has averaged 53% over CNN’s last three polls. His overall job approval rating in those same polls among voters has been just 44%. But what happens if the […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Most back gun restrictions after shootings, Trump ratings down
In the wake of two mass shootings, overwhelming and bipartisan majorities of voters favor background checks on gun buyers and taking guns from people who are a danger to themselves or others, according to the latest Fox News Poll. Two-thirds also support a ban on “assault weapons,” although that majority […] Read more »
Trump’s base is very different than the swing voters he’ll need in 2020
President Donald Trump’s chief problem heading into the 2020 campaign can be boiled down to “like him on the economy, but not overall.” Aggregating our last three CNN polls, Trump has a 44% approval rating and 52% disapproval rating among voters. On the economy, it’s been the inverse: 53% approval […] Read more »
U.S. Views of China Turn Sharply Negative Amid Trade Tensions
Over the past year, the United States and China have slapped a series of escalating tariffs on one another, with the U.S. now taxing more than $250 billion worth of Chinese goods. Despite periodic, high-level meetings intended to defuse these trade tensions, results of a new Pew Research Center survey […] Read more »