… Presidents are clearly punished for bad times and rewarded when the economy is strong. But do presidents really control the economy? Reasonable people may differ, but if they were honest, most who’ve tried pulling those levers from the White House would probably agree their influence is not as great […] Read more »
Trump is holding his own in coronavirus polling
If you’re one of the 12% of adults who get their political news off of Twitter, you might think that the coronavirus pandemic is the end of President Donald Trump’s political career. He seems to be getting slammed left and right on the platform (and in the media more generally) […] Read more »
CBS News/YouGov Poll: Views of economy drop, but Americans optimistic about recovery
Assessments of the economy have plummeted, and many are concerned about a potential job loss, but most Americans are optimistic about the economy’s ability to rebound in the future. Now, just over a quarter of Americans say the economy is in good shape, a drop of 32 points from December […] Read more »
How COVID-19 Is — And Isn’t — Changing Politics
According to the latest polling, the spread of COVID-19 has disrupted the daily lives of the vast majority of Americans. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how that broad effect has — and has not — changed partisan politics. They also ask how the pandemic […] Read more »
Four Reasons to Be Cautious About Trump’s Approval Ratings
Ever since the COVID-19 coronavirus crisis began to accelerate a couple of weeks ago, political obsessives have wondered about the likely effect that it would have on President Trump’s job approval ratings—and, by extension, his chances of re-election in November. … But realistically, it’s far too soon to glean much […] Read more »
The Uncertainty of Our New Normal: A Data Dump
… We should expect significant behavioral change as the COVID-19 reality modifies our data-to-day lives. To capture this, we partnered with Axios and published our first installment of the Axios-Ipsos Coronavirus poll on Wednesday this week. This will be our baseline to gauge behavioral change (companies, people, and governments) going […] Read more »