This edition of our daily tracking release features findings from a national online survey of 1,020 registered voters conducted May 6-11, 2020, a national online survey of 1,687 registered voters conducted April 27-May 4, 2020, and a national online survey of 1,683 registered voters conducted May 4-May 11, 2020. • […] Read more »
Americans, Not Politicians, Will Decide When We Reopen
All but a dozen states are in some phase of reopening from COVID-19 related shutdowns, and forecasts of the pandemic’s toll in the U.S. have correspondingly increased death projections due to the virus. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether there is an overarching plan […] Read more »
AP-NORC poll: Majority disapprove of coronavirus protests
A majority of Americans disapprove of protests against restrictions aimed at preventing the spread the coronavirus, according to a new poll that also finds the still-expansive support for such limits — including restaurant closures and stay-at-home orders — has dipped in recent weeks. CONT. Randall Chase & Emily Swanson, Associated […] Read more »
Uniqueness of coronavirus ‘doesn’t mean the news is good for Trump’ in 2020
538’s Nate Silver on whether or not he thinks a bad economy hurts an incumbent president’s chances for reelection. This Week, ABC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
The strong economy didn’t make Trump, but coronavirus collapse could break him
The last time an incumbent president lost reelection — George H.W. Bush, in 1992 — an “it’s the economy, stupid” campaign theme took him down. Unemployment then was hovering around 7.5%. In the calamitous spring of 2020, that sounds like a long-lost boomtime. The Labor Department last week reported unemployment […] Read more »
‘Worst is Yet to Come’ Ticking Back Up After Days of Decline
This edition of our daily tracking release features findings from a national online survey of 1,022 registered voters conducted May 5-8, 2020 and a national online survey of 1,014 registered voters conducted May 1-6, 2020. • After weeks of decline, there has been an uptick recently in the share of […] Read more »