Key Points• The passing of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg introduces an explosive new issue into the 2020 contests, although it may not fundamentally alter the race.• Based on trends in public polling, and with a potential assist from Maine’s ranked-choice voting system, we’re moving that state’s critical Senate […] Read more »
Four things that could still affect the presidential race but probably won’t
If there’s anything that’s defined the 2020 presidential race so far it’s stability. No matter what issues and events the world throws at it — and it’s thrown plenty — the polls barely budge. Yes, the overall polling averages have narrowed slightly during September, but Biden continues to have an […] Read more »
Harvard Youth Poll: Election 2020
A national poll of America’s 18- to 29- year-olds released today by the Institute of Politics (IOP) at Harvard Kennedy School found significant interest in the upcoming election with the likelihood of turning out to vote at levels not seen since the 2008 presidential election. The poll found 63% of […] Read more »
Americans Mostly Agree on Policing. The Difference Is Priorities.
Even as a pandemic and the resulting economic crisis occupy much of the news, President Trump and Joe Biden often talk about something else: crime and justice. Specifically, they are talking about policing and safety, while offering sharply competing visions of America. Yet a survey reveals that Americans are not […] Read more »
How Biden Will Handle the Supreme Court Vacancy
In a better world, we would spend this week paying tribute to the remarkable life of Ruth Bader Ginsburg, reflecting on her importance as a historical figure in the American story, and having high-minded discussions of her judicial philosophy and its implications—and limitations—for the future. We do not live in […] Read more »
The first polling tidbits after the death of Justice Ginsburg
It will be a while until we have a good understanding of public opinion in the aftermath of the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Most high-quality polls are conducted over three or more days, so we’ll have to wait to see many full poll results. Even then, […] Read more »