Both parties are increasingly focused on the pivotal — and potentially messy — role that Pennsylvania could play in deciding the outcome of the presidential race. … Both sides now see Pennsylvania, with 20 electoral college votes, as a must-win prize on the path to the 270 needed to win […] Read more »
As Trump refuses to say he’ll accept election results, Republicans press to make voting harder
Republican officials have rhetorically brushed aside President Trump’s refusal to say he will accept the results of the election. They note that presidencies have changed hands peacefully since the start of the republic. Meanwhile, they are engaged in a systematic effort to make voting more difficult. These actions are not […] Read more »
Republicans start to distance from Trump
The fever may be starting to break. Donald Trump has held his party in line with bullying tactics and the white-hot love of the conservative populist base. But now — badly trailing in the polls and marred by increasingly erratic, self-sabotaging behavior — there are signs that some Republicans are […] Read more »
Why Donald Trump still has a shot against Joe Biden
The polls look awful for President Donald Trump. He’s down by about 10 points nationally and in almost all of the swing states to Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden. Trump’s first debate performance was widely panned, and he needs a lot to go right the rest of the way. Chances […] Read more »
Gender in the 2020 election: Have we gotten the story backwards?
… It has become conventional wisdom in 2020 that a Biden victory would be powered by women’s massive disaffection from Donald Trump. But the Pew findings show that something else is happening that calls this assumption into question, something that may shed light on the larger problem of sexism in […] Read more »
Why Trump is losing
… Why might Trump’s narrow popular-vote loss in 2016 become a more dramatic rejection of the incumbent president? Detailed new polling from Pew Research Center shows how the electorate has shifted away from Trump over the past four years. Two years ago, the research firm compiled a picture of the […] Read more »