For people who write about electoral, or “horse race,” politics, few things are more enjoyable than an exciting presidential primary season. Sometimes, both Democrats and Republicans cooperate by holding gripping fights for the party nods (see 2008). Sometimes, however, voters in both parties quickly coalesce around front-runners (see 2000). A […] Read more »
NBC News poll: Nearly 70% of GOP voters stand behind Trump amid indictment, investigations
A whopping two-thirds of Republican primary voters say they stand behind former President Donald Trump and dismiss concerns about his electability, despite his recent criminal arrest and the other legal investigations into his past conduct, a new national NBC News poll finds. That — along with his double-digit lead over […] Read more »
How do Americans feel about a Trump-Biden rematch? ‘Exhaustion’ tops the list.
With President Biden reportedly set to announce his reelection campaign early next week, more Americans say they feel “exhaustion” over the prospect of a 2024 rematch between Biden and his predecessor Donald Trump than any other emotion, according to a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll. The survey of 1,530 U.S. adults, […] Read more »
Over Before It Began?
Based on the chatter in Washington, the race for the Republican nomination is already over. Former President Donald Trump, who looked vulnerable in the immediate aftermath of the 2022 midterms, has regained his footing in spite of (or thanks to) an indictment and more potential legal fallout in the coming […] Read more »
Leaning Into State Trends: The Northeast and Greater South
J. Miles Coleman, Sabato’s Crystal Ball 2020 presidential election showing the lean of Biden-won states The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
What we miss when we focus on Trump
Former President Trump drives media attention, whether the story is about his first-quarter fundraising or the whereabouts of his wife, Melania. Broadcast-media ratings remained unusually high while he was in office and spiked again after his recent indictment. Financial Times columnist Edward Luce wrote that the media circus around Trump’s […] Read more »