President Joe Biden’s job approval rating hit a career low in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll and a broad 68% of Americans say he’s too old for another term as president — views that put him in a trailing position against top Republicans in early preferences for 2024. Just […] Read more »
Biden’s dragging poll numbers won’t matter in 2024 if enough voters loathe his opponent even more
Joe Biden doesn’t need to be popular to win the 2024 election – he just needs his opponent to be more unpopular. Drew Angerer/Getty Images Charles R. Hunt, Boise State University Commentators were quick to note President Joe Biden’s low job approval and favorability ratings after he announced his long-expected […] Read more »
Red States Need Blue Cities
In red and blue states, Democrats are consolidating their hold on the most economically productive places. Metropolitan areas won by President Joe Biden in 2020 generated more of the total economic output than metros won by Donald Trump in 35 of the 50 states, according to new research by Brookings […] Read more »
Leaning Into State Trends: The Midwest and Interior West
Key Points• Both the Midwest and Interior West have states that Joe Biden carried by less than his popular vote margin in 2020.• In the Midwest, Michigan and Wisconsin will likely be prime battlegrounds states next year, although Michigan seems a harder lift for Republicans.• In the Interior West, Arizona’s […] Read more »
Can Biden Win Over the ‘Meh’ Voters Again in 2024?
For the first time in memory, low approval ratings of a sitting president didn’t cause a disaster for his party in a midterm election. Many Democratic candidates in 2022 succeeded in winning over voters who “somewhat” disapproved of Biden — a group I dubbed last fall as the ‘meh’ voters. […] Read more »
Long shots for president? How about no shots
The political world is aflutter with recent polling showing voters of all partisan stripes saying President Joe Biden should not run again. He is too old, asserted observers who have been making the same argument for months. Polls also showed — and this may knock you off your seat — […] Read more »