Ron DeSantis is expected to enter the 2024 presidential race this week. But the Florida governor begins his campaign to win the GOP nomination with his poll numbers flailing and with former President Donald Trump as the clear primary front-runner. Still, DeSantis remains by far the best hope for anti-Trump […] Read more »
The Most Jarring — And Revealing — Moment from Trump’s CNN Town Hall
In CNN’s tumultuous town hall last week with Donald Trump, the most jarring moment was the most revealing. For many viewers, an especially discordant exchange came when some of the New Hampshire Republicans in the studio audience laughed and cheered as the former president disparaged E. Jean Carroll, the woman […] Read more »
Will 2024 be a personality contest or a policy debate?
Here are a few thoughts this week as we await the outcome of the debt ceiling battle. What will the 2024 election be about? It may seem obvious to ask this most basic of questions about the next election, but the answer will likely decide its outcome. So, perhaps, a […] Read more »
The demographic makeup of the country’s voters continues to shift. That creates headwinds for Republicans
Demographic change continued to chip away at the cornerstone of the Republican electoral coalition in 2022, a new analysis of Census data has found. White voters without a four-year college degree, the indispensable core of the modern GOP coalition, declined in 2022 as a share of both actual and eligible […] Read more »
Pollsters worry Trump problem is ‘back with a vengeance’
Pollsters are again staring down a familiar nemesis: Donald Trump. The polling industry whiffed every year Trump has been on the ballot. … And now, with Trump expanding his lead over his GOP primary rivals, pollsters are fretting about a bloc of the electorate that has made his support nearly […] Read more »
Trump’s defiance at the CNN town hall may scare off many voters — but not the GOP base
The Republicans in the audience laughed when former President Donald Trump mocked a woman who accused him of rape. They cheered when he defended his role during the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol. And they applauded again after he said he was “honored” to “terminate Roe v. […] Read more »