Republicans in the House of Representatives have voted to dismiss Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) from her position as chair of the House Republican Conference due to her refusal to support former President Donald Trump and go along with the so-called “Big Lie,” the false narrative that the 2020 election was […] Read more »
Why Americans’ support for democratic values may not protect democracy in practice
There has been widespread concern about the potential for democratic decline in the United States in the wake of the contested 2020 presidential election. Using new polling data, we find that 1) the belief that there was fraud in the 2020 election is associated with modestly lower support among Americans […] Read more »
A GOP Civil War? Don’t Bet On It.
If you’ve been reading the coverage lately, or listened to gloating Democrats, it’s easy to believe the Republican Party is eating itself alive. … Among Democrats painfully aware of their tiny or non-existent margins in the House and Senate, the prospect of a divided Republican Party offers hope that this […] Read more »
Changing pandemic politics
… The federal government did almost nothing to deal with the Spanish flu and there’s no indication of public demand for action. President Wilson never uttered a public word about the pandemic. … Former President Trump tried the Wilson strategy — ignoring the pandemic — but it failed quickly and […] Read more »
Why the Sun Belt may pick the next president
The battleground states across the industrial Midwest have functioned as the decisive tipping point of American politics for at least 30 years, especially in presidential elections. But the latest Census Bureau findings on both overall population growth and voter turnout in 2020 signal that the Sun Belt will increasingly rival, […] Read more »
New Voters Helped Propel Biden in 2020
We know that 2020 produced the largest voter turnout in modern history. But, for a detailed understanding of who voted—and how they voted—we had to wait until state voter files were updated and analyzed. This week, Catalist, a Democratic data analytics firm, released their first deep dive into the 2020 […] Read more »