The Virginia governor’s race is but one state contest, an entire year before the midterms. So why are the nation’s political eyes all watching it so intensely? Because, as our poll finds, it’ll turn on the very issues voters across the country are facing: vaccines and mandates, the economy and […] Read more »
David Shor Is Telling Democrats What They Don’t Want to Hear
President Biden’s agenda is in peril. Democrats hold a bare 50 seats in the Senate, which gives any member of their caucus the power to block anything he or she chooses, at least in the absence of Republican support. And Senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema are wielding that leverage […] Read more »
Research Reveals Outsized Role Immigration Plays in Fueling our National Divide
Key Points• Joe Biden and Donald Trump voters feel strongly but in opposite directions on the topic of discrimination, with Biden voters expressing concern about discrimination against minorities, while Trump voters worry that discrimination against whites will increase significantly in the next few years. (see Table 1 below)• Whereas Biden […] Read more »
Trump True Believers Have Their Reasons
Just who believes the claim that Donald Trump won in 2020 and that the election was stolen from him? Who are these tens of millions of Americans, and what draws them into this web of delusion? Three sources provided The Times with survey data: the University of Massachusetts-Amherst Poll, P.R.R.I. […] Read more »
Two-thirds of Republicans want Trump to retain major political role; 44% want him to run again in 2024
Two-thirds of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say they would like to see former President Donald Trump continue to be a major political figure for many years to come, including 44% who say they would like him to run for president in 2024, according to a Pew Research Center survey of […] Read more »
Support for Secession Linked to Conspiracy Belief
Key Points• Belief in conspiracy theories is most consistently correlated with Biden and Trump voters who favor secession.• The majority of citizens who voted for Joe Biden or Donald Trump in the last election, when combined, believe in at least one of the conspiracy theories (43% of Biden voters and […] Read more »