Most Americans don’t trust Trump on coronavirus. Republicans don’t trust CDC or Fauci.

Fewer than a third of Americans say they trust what President Donald Trump has said about the coronavirus pandemic, new polling shows, while a majority of the public trusts the messaging from the country’s leading health experts. … Majorities of Republicans trust what the president has said, but they don’t […] Read more »

Despite Mask Wars, Americans Support Aggressive Measures To Stop COVID-19

With the national death toll from COVID-19 passing the grim 150,000 mark, an NPR/Ipsos poll finds broad support for a single, national strategy to address the pandemic and more aggressive measures to contain it. Two-thirds of respondents said they believe the U.S. is handling the pandemic worse than other countries, […] Read more »

It’s the Pandemic, Stupid! A Simplified Model for Forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election

Key Points• Two factors that historically have been helpful in forecasting presidential elections — the power of incumbency and the state of the economy — may be less useful in this year’s election, both because of long-term changes in American politics and the current public health crisis.• A forecasting model […] Read more »