Weak Spots in Democrats’ Strong Midterm Results Point to Challenges in 2020

Democrats had a great showing in the 2018 midterm elections. But even in such a strong year, they sometimes struggled to match their traditional support in electorally significant areas — with serious implications for 2020. Their triumph was a somewhat narrow one, concentrated in well-educated, affluent communities. Over all, the […] Read more »

2018 rewrote the main rule of US politics

So much for the old rule that all politics is local. … In virtually every state, Democrats last Tuesday displayed a clear advantage in densely populated, culturally and racially diverse white-collar metropolitan areas, while Republicans relied on elevated margins in the preponderantly white, religiously traditional, smaller places beyond them. In […] Read more »

Blue waves and white bubbles: What America’s growing diversity portends for the GOP

In many ways, two Americas voted Tuesday: One that is large, white, and shrinking; another that’s far smaller, more racially, ethnically and culturally diverse -– and growing inexorably. Look back a generation: 91 percent of voters in 1990 were white. Tuesday, 72 percent were white, the fewest on record for […] Read more »

The two Americas just lurched further apart

With Tuesday’s House wins, Democrats have established a commanding position in diverse, white-collar, information-age suburban seats around the country. Conversely, after the election, the Republican caucus now tilts even more preponderantly toward districts that are more white, less affluent, and less well-educated than the national average. The result is a […] Read more »

The Polarizer-in-Chief Meets the Midterms

There is no clearer sign of the changing shape of the Democratic coalition than the fact that going into the 2018 midterm elections, six of the 20 richest congressional districts were represented by Republicans but that when the new Congress is sworn in, all 20 will be represented by Democrats. […] Read more »

Pollsters, Civil Rights and Civic Engagement Organizations Analyze The American Election Eve Poll

This election, allied organizations across the progressive movement launched the American Election Eve Poll examining how African American, Asian American and Pacific Islander, Latino, Native American and White voters engaged in the 2018 midterm elections. … The American Election Eve Poll: Examined how African American, Asian American & Pacific Islander, […] Read more »