President Trump’s declaration of a national emergency, intended to allow him to build a wall on the southern border without Congress approving funds, has sparked intense debate within the Republican Party, just as Sen. Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.) warned it would weeks ago. … The Republican divide over the national […] Read more »
Trump Is Driving Out Precious Republican Voters
Ever since Donald Trump’s upset victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016, much of the media attention has been on how Democrats need to reconsider their strategy for winning voters in future elections, particularly Obama-to-Trump voters. But the results of the 2018 midterm elections suggest that Republicans have some soul-searching to […] Read more »
Poll Hub: The Debate over Gun Control in the United States
This week marked one year since the mass shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida. According to the latest national NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll, the urgency for Congress to act on gun control measures has waned, but consensus exists on specific legislative proposals to curb such violence. CONT. […] Read more »
2020 Democrats face the most diverse electorate in history
One of the defining characteristics of the 2020 Democratic presidential contest is the unprecedented diversity of the field, which already features more women and minority candidates than ever. But even more significant than the increasing variety of the contenders may be the growing diversity of the primary voters who will […] Read more »
U-Haul move data reveals shifting American political landscape
Geography has become a crucial definer of American politics, as vote data suggest we are increasingly a nation of red communities and blue communities. And through that lens, new data from U-Haul offers a glimpse into 2018’s internal population migration and its potential electoral implications. Every year the moving company […] Read more »
Why Trump is more likely to incite people than persuade them tonight
… Halfway through his first term, Trump has engraved extraordinarily deep — and stable — lines of division in the public about his priorities, policies and personality. Though cheered by a passionate and seemingly immovable base of supporters, he has become the first president in the history of modern polling […] Read more »