Beto O’Rourke’s announcement Thursday that he’s seeking the presidency will compound a demographic mismatch that could powerfully shape the outcome of the 2020 Democratic race. … Even in a rapidly diversifying party, it’s virtually certain that most Democratic primary voters next year will be older than 45. Yet most of […] Read more »
As Cobb County trends blue, so goes Georgia statewide politics
… It’s difficult to overstate how rapidly the politics of the area has evolved. The results from the last few elections tell the story. In 2012, Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney won Cobb County by 12 percentage points and won Georgia by 8 points. In 2016, the county swung Democratic […] Read more »
In Kamala Harris, a sequel to Ronald Reagan?
In 1980, former California Gov. Ronald Reagan was elected the nation’s 40th president. Blondie topped the music charts, the sequel to “Star Wars” packed movie theaters and Kamala Harris was a 16-year-old finishing high school. Nearly four decades later, Harris is a leading candidate for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination, […] Read more »
Democrats’ Two Roads to Beating Trump
Two distinct paths are emerging for Democrats to beat Donald Trump in 2020, each presenting different challenges—and perhaps demanding a different kind of nominee. The paths are through the Rust Belt and Sun Belt battlegrounds, which both parties consider most likely to decide the next presidential contest. New state-level polling […] Read more »
Why Democrats are not afraid of gun control anymore
The House of Representatives this week is poised to pass its most significant gun control legislation since President Bill Clinton’s first term — and in the process highlight a fundamental transformation in the Democratic Party’s center of gravity. … The willingness, even eagerness, of most House Democrats to embrace new […] Read more »
The calendar is shifting Democratic influence in 2020 to voters of color
As in every recent Democrat primary race, the 2020 contest will begin in two virtually all-white states, with the Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary in early February. But after that the next month of the primary calendar is dominated by states across the Sun Belt where non-white voters comprise a large share, and […] Read more »