Large, mostly Democratic-leaning, metropolitan centers are consolidating their dominance of the national economy even as smaller, mostly Republican-leaning communities at their periphery show clear signs of economic revival under President Donald Trump, according to an extensive new analysis of regional economic dynamics published Tuesday. These twin trends — consolidation at […] Read more »
The Rise of White Identity Politics
Conservatives and moderates are often dismissive of “identity politics,” by which they mean liberal efforts to motivate voter turnout by raising issues of particular concern to women, people of color, and other marginalized groups in American politics. But it is important to remember that the original identity politics play was […] Read more »
Democratic 2018 vote resembled presidential year turnout
Democrats had a good 2018 and new data released this week helps explain why. Last year’s midterms featured enormous turnout and it was especially high among groups that tend to favor Democratic candidates. Census numbers from the Current Population Survey show spikes in 2018 turnout among young voters, highly educated […] Read more »
Census Showdown: The implications of including a citizenship question in the 2020 U.S. Census
The debate over the inclusion of a citizenship question in the 2020 U.S. Census is now before the U.S. Supreme Court. On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we discuss the importance of the decision both politically and in the world of polling. Then, NPR’s Lead Political Editor Domenico Montanaro […] Read more »
Identicide: How demographic shifts can rip a country apart
What does it look like when a country’s identity falls apart? Interior Design/shutterstock.com Monica Duffy Toft, Tufts University What happens to a country when its core national identity – its preferred image of itself in terms of race or religion – doesn’t match its demographic reality? Say a Sunni-dominated Arab […] Read more »
New research shows just how badly a citizenship question would hurt the 2020 Census
The Trump administration’s attempt to add a citizenship question to the 2020 Census reaches the Supreme Court on Tuesday. Thus far, three federal judges have ruled against the Trump administration, most recently in Maryland. The Supreme Court will consider not only whether the administration violated administrative law, but also whether […] Read more »