… Older, whiter, more social conservative America feels under threat of losing their stamp on the country’s character, racial composition and soul–and they’re right. They’re losing: not only is the country inevitably becoming less white, it is also becoming less religious, and the millennial generation is not only larger than […] Read more »
Poll Hub: A discussion of the Supreme Court’s ruling on the U.S. Census citizenship question
The United States Supreme Court ruled against including a citizenship question on the 2020 U.S. Census questionnaire. On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we discuss the significance of the ruling and how it impacts the polling community. Then, we move onto baseball with baseball aficionado and friend of The […] Read more »
A Single Day Exposed the Central Tension Driving American Politics
The same explosive question rumbled through this week’s Supreme Court ruling on the 2020 census and the two nights of Democratic presidential debates: How will America respond to the propulsive demographic, social, and economic changes remaking the nation? The juxtaposition of these two events, purely coincidental, underscored how much of […] Read more »
How Do You Measure the LGBT Population in the U.S.?
Until recently, researchers have struggled to answer what should be a simple question: How many Americans are lesbian, gay, bisexual or transgender (LGBT)? … Since 2012, Gallup research has shown that the proportion of U.S. adults identifying as LGBT has increased from 3.5% in 2012 to 4.5% in 2017. The […] Read more »
Americans Still Greatly Overestimate U.S. Gay Population
U.S. adults estimate that nearly one in four Americans (23.6%) are gay or lesbian. Gallup has previously found that Americans have greatly overestimated the U.S. gay population, recording similar average estimates of 24.6% in 2011 and 23.2% in 2015. In each of the three polls in which Gallup has asked […] Read more »
The Electoral Time Machine That Could Reelect Trump
Amid all the ongoing changes in the country that generally favor Democrats, is it still possible that President Donald Trump will be reelected in 2020? Because I study religious and demographic change, I hear this question a lot. Much of the early punditry on Trump’s reelection prospects has focused on […] Read more »