Hot-button ideological issues took center stage in last week’s Democratic debates, as candidates fought over things like “Medicare for all” and the decriminalization of illegal border crossings. But while Democratic candidates might be divided by ideology and policy, Democratic voters mostly are not. The Democratic electorate is not clearly or […] Read more »
The Heartland Is Moving in Different Directions
The Democrats’ ability to wrest back Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Iowa faces a steep hurdle. The population of the Rust Belt is aging at a much faster pace than the rest of the country. Exit polls show that people over the age of 50 put Donald Trump in the White […] Read more »
White Anxiety, and a President Ready to Address It
Two forces convulsing American politics found each other at President Trump’s rally in North Carolina this week: a sense of anxiety among white voters about their standing in a country that is growing more diverse, and a politician intent on stoking those worries. … More than anything else, the rising […] Read more »
How Trump could lose by 5 million votes and still win in 2020
In the wake of President Donald Trump’s tweets suggesting several nonwhite progressive congresswomen “go back” to their countries — three of them were born in the U.S. — it’s tempting for Democrats to believe the comments will backfire with an increasingly diverse electorate and seriously damage his re-election prospects. But […] Read more »
Trump Voters Are Not the Only Voters
The anti-Trump vote is the single largest coalition in American politics. That was true in 2016, despite Hillary Clinton’s defeat in the Electoral College. It was true in 2017, after Democrats won major victories in Virginia and Alabama. And it was true in 2018, when the anti-Trump coalition gave Democrats […] Read more »
Republicans represent almost none of the places most immigrants live
President Donald Trump’s openly racist and xenophobic attacks on four Democratic House women of color, like his threatened immigration enforcement raids in major cities and the sweeping proposed new restrictions on asylum seekers that he announced Monday, underscores his transformation of the Republican Party into a coalition centered on the […] Read more »