The 2020 presidential election remains very much up for grabs, but one thing already seems clear: It will end with about half of America triumphant, and the other half furious and fearful. Whichever side ultimately prevails in November, red and blue America are diverging along both demographic and geographic lines […] Read more »
Is it true that “Most polls misrepresent the Democratic electorate” and that this “skews the results”?
Someone pointed me to this post in the Monkey Cage, a political science blog that I participate in. The post was about non-representativeness of political polls, and it had one good point and one bad point. Overall I think the claims in the post were overstated. CONT. Andrew Gelman (Columbia […] Read more »
U.S. has changed in key ways in the past decade, from tech use to demographics
The past decade in the United States has seen technological advancements, demographic shifts and major changes in public opinion. Pew Research Center has tracked these developments through surveys, demographic analyses and other research. As the 2010s draw to a close, here are key ways the country looks different from 10 […] Read more »
Poll: Iowa and NH are great places for the 1st presidential contests. Also terrible ones.
Iowa and New Hampshire are great places to hold the opening presidential caucuses and primary, most Americans agree. Also, terrible ones. That was the decidedly mixed message from a USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll exploring whether the two small states, both overwhelmingly white, should continue to hold the out-sized influence on […] Read more »
Asian American and Pacific Islander voters may soon face potential shift in political power
When tech entrepreneur Andrew Yang became the last 2020 presidential contender to secure a spot on the December debate stage, his presence as the sole candidate of color to appear in an otherwise all-white lineup provided a visible example of the types of concerns his competitors have cited about the […] Read more »
Trump Has a Gift for Tearing Us Apart
Donald Trump has done everything within his power to activate racial and ethnic animosity in this country. His main targets are immigrants, who are often greeted with rank hatred. But it’s a mistake to think that Trump started all this, even as he’s taking full advantage of the opportunities animosity […] Read more »