… The states of the former Confederacy will elect a little over one quarter of Democrats’ pledged delegates in 2020 — six of them on Super Tuesday (Alabama, Arkansas, North Carolina, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia). And so as the 2020 Democratic primary contests move to the South, I figured it […] Read more »
Don’t buy into Joe Biden’s momentum
Former vice president Joe Biden’s stunningly large victory in South Carolina on Saturday will give his campaign much-needed energy going into Super Tuesday. That doesn’t mean he has supplanted Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) as the front-runner. Biden’s win was more a feature of demographics than a serious comeback. South Carolina […] Read more »
Data show how to win Super Tuesday without winning a state
Super Tuesday is about more than just winning delegates, the complex mix of 14 states in play this week offers a look at how different important voting blocs feel about the Democratic field as the primary calendar picks up momentum. With that in mind, using demographics and economics as a […] Read more »
Aging, Rising, Brainy, Booming: Super Tuesday Economies Pose Wider Test
The first few contests in the Democratic presidential primary race have been fought in states that are small and somewhat quirky economically. There aren’t many states where voters care as much about ethanol subsidies as they do in Iowa, or where culinary unions wield as much power as in Nevada. […] Read more »
How Will The Democratic Primary Change Now That It’s Moving To More Diverse States?
Many observers of the 2020 Democratic primary expect that the race will be much different as it moves to states with more diverse electorates. In particular, the expectation is that former Vice President Joe Biden will do better and former Mayor of South Bend, Indiana, Pete Buttigieg will do worse. […] Read more »
If Sanders, Buttigieg and Klobuchar want to win, they need to quickly shift gears
On Tuesday night, three candidates punched their tickets to Super Tuesday. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders won the New Hampshire primary, former South Bend, Ind., mayor Pete Buttigieg came in second in the voting and tied for delegates, and Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar surged past Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and former […] Read more »