Joe Biden often describes himself as a bridge between the Democratic Party’s past and future generation of leaders. But the 2020 election results signal that he may play an even more indispensable role, as a bridge between the party’s past and future electoral coalitions. Biden won the White House by […] Read more »
How independents, Latino voters and Catholics shifted from 2016 and swung states for Biden and Trump
The contours of a reshaped and expanded electorate are coming into focus, with network exit poll results providing an early look at which groups shifted the most from the 2016 to 2020 presidential elections. Overall, the network exit poll conducted by Edison Research suggests that despite a massive surge in […] Read more »
2020 and what comes after in our politics
Conversations with Bill Kristol: On the 2020 elections, the fault lines in our divided electorate, and the challenges faced by both parties going forward. Bill Kristol speaks with Ron Brownstein. Read more »
Biden-voting counties equal 70% of America’s economy. What does this mean for the nation’s political-economic divide?
Even with a new president and political party soon in charge of the White House, the nation’s economic standoff continues. Notwithstanding President-elect Joe Biden’s solid popular vote victory, last week’s election failed to deliver the kind of transformative reorientation of the nation’s political-economic map that Democrats (and some Republicans) had […] Read more »
Don’t trust the exit polls
… Biden didn’t do as well as public polls projected. Some groups unexpectedly appeared to have shifted toward Trump, such as Latinos. In rushing to understand what happened, some have relied on the National Exit Poll (NEP) conducted by Edison Research to form narratives about what happened and why. But […] Read more »
How Biden won: Three key voter groups in 2020
Any election victory can be seen from a variety of angles — marginal gains here, voter flips there — but the story of Joe Biden’s 2020 win, and his narrow recapturing of the northern Democratic “blue wall” states, might be best explained by vote boosts with three groups: younger voters, […] Read more »