… Over the last few decades, residents of many traditionally liberal states have moved to states that were once more conservative. And this pattern has played an important role in helping the Democratic Party win the last two presidential elections and four of the last six. … The blue diaspora […] Read more »
Where We Came From, State by State
Foreign immigration is a hot topic these days, but the movement of people from one state to another can have an even bigger influence on the United States’ economy, politics and culture. … The following charts document domestic migration since the turn of the last century, based on census data. […] Read more »
Racial Voting Lines In Hawaii Senate Primary Leave Pollsters Mostly Clueless
I don’t know who is going to win Saturday’s special Democratic Senate primary between Sen. Brian Schatz and Rep. Colleen Hanabusa — and it’s not just because there’s a lot going on in Hawaii right now (an earthquake rattled Hawaii on Thursday, and two tropical storms are on course to […] Read more »
Democrats Have a White Working Class Problem—and Not Just in the South
Whenever elections approach, there is always a flurry of concern among Democrats regarding the white working class. Despite a steady and gradual decline in its size over the last several decades, this group remains a substantial percentage of the electorate; even relatively small decreases in its support for Democrats can […] Read more »
Democrats Seize on Social Issues as Values Wedge Cuts Their Way
… The tumultuous social changes that began in the 1960s supplied decades of political ammunition for Republicans. Beginning with Richard M. Nixon, they rallied Americans disturbed by noisy protests over civil rights, the sexual revolution and the Vietnam War. … Now the values wedge cuts for Democrats. … Democrats profit […] Read more »
Republicans’ increasing reliance on white voters may not spell electoral doom just yet
It’s a widely accepted idea that Republicans are sitting on a demographic time bomb: The GOP is getting whiter and whiter in terms of the voters it attracts even as the country is growing increasingly diverse. Marisa Abrajano, an associate professor of political science at the University of California at […] Read more »