Identity politics seem to have made a 180-degree reversal this week as Hillary Clinton and Marco Rubio announced their candidacies for 2016. In the last two presidential elections, Democratic victories were propelled by racial minorities and the young, while Republicans relied heavily on older whites. In both cases, the candidates’ […] Read more »
Most Californians say race relations are better in California than elsewhere in United States
As issues of race continue to make national headlines, most California voters say that race relations are better here than they are in the rest of the country, according to results from the latest USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll. CONT. USC Dornsife Read more »
Where’s the Real Electoral College Battleground for 2016?
Since Barack Obama’s win in 2008, phrases like “Demographic Destiny” and “blue wall” have become part of the justification for Democrats slight edge in winning the White House in 2016. Demographic destiny, of course, refers to Democrats’ success in winning over the fast-growing minority population, as well as women and […] Read more »
A Deep Dive Into Party Affiliation
Democrats hold advantages in party identification among blacks, Asians, Hispanics, well-educated adults and Millennials. Republicans have leads among whites – particularly white men, those with less education and evangelical Protestants – as well as members of the Silent Generation. A new analysis of long-term trends in party affiliation among the […] Read more »
America’s Hinge Moment
… The current era in presidential politics has been defined by deep partisan divisions over the same issues and static voting behavior tied to race, ethnicity, gender, age and geography. Even though Democrats have won the popular vote in five out of the past six presidential elections, they have only […] Read more »
Is amnesty really that bad for GOP voting base?
The recent Homeland Security funding fight resurfaced Republicans’ continued aversion to regularization for illegal immigrants. Presumably, among their calculations is the notion that allowing some of the estimated eleven million individuals that are living in the US illegally to gain voting rights would result in electoral gains for Democrats. Worse […] Read more »