In the lead up to the fourth round of Democratic primary debates, majorities of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say Democratic candidates for president are spending too little time talking about women’s health care and surprise medical bills, while most feel they are spending the right amount or too much time […] Read more »
Tuesday’s Democratic debate could be make or break for these four candidates
Tuesday night’s CNN/The New York Times debate stage will feature a record 12 candidates. It could be the last debate appearance for up to 33% of them. Former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julián Castro, Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar and former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke are […] Read more »
Impeachment could lead to a first in the 2020 election
President Donald Trump, who has repeatedly shattered political tradition, may find himself in another unprecedented circumstance in 2020: He could become the first president ever to be impeached by the House and then seek another term in the next election. That unique prospect could scramble the electoral calculations next year […] Read more »
Has Elizabeth Warren broken the electability ceiling?
One of the early truisms of the 2020 Democratic nominating contest was that Democrats wanted nothing more than to beat President Trump. There’s typically a connection between overall support in a primary and the perception that a candidate has the best chance of winning in the general election, but this […] Read more »
What To Look For In The Fourth Democratic Debate
Since last Monday’s podcast, a number of new impeachment polls have published, and they don’t look good for President Trump. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew takes a look at the new impeachment polling and reviews some of the main developments since last week. The team […] Read more »
The surprising fluidity of the 2020 Democratic field
Working with the polling firm YouGov, CBS News has been conducting a tracking poll of support for candidates for the Democratic 2020 presidential nomination in early-voting states. In other words, the pollsters go back to the states over and over to gauge support — and, in fact, they go back […] Read more »