It’s a new three-way race in Iowa. Pete Buttigieg, the mayor of South Bend, Indiana, who was initially seen as a long-shot presidential contender, has surged within striking distance of former vice president Joe Biden and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren in the first-in-the-nation Iowa caucuses, a Suffolk University/USA TODAY Poll […] Read more »
A strange bellwether: Pennsylvania’s House
The five competitive 2020 House races in Pennsylvania read like an abridged version of the national House race. They include the suburban battlegrounds, the exurban battlegrounds, a Romney-Clinton districts, an Obama-Trump district, a Republican in a seat that Clinton carried and a Democrat in a seat Trump carried. The results […] Read more »
Endorsements matter when there’s a consensus
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver on whether he buys that endorsements will matter for the 2020 Democratic primary. This Week, ABC News Read more »
Trump Campaign Floods Web With Ads, Raking In Cash as Democrats Struggle
On any given day, the Trump campaign is plastering ads all over Facebook, YouTube and the millions of sites served by Google, hitting the kind of incendiary themes — immigrant invaders, the corrupt media — that play best on platforms where algorithms favor outrage and political campaigns are free to […] Read more »
As Trump reels, Democrats wonder which of their candidates can beat him
… On paper, the field of candidates running for the Democratic nomination was everything the party’s rank-and-file might have hoped for. It was big, offering more choices than ever. It was experienced, with candidates from every level of government and beyond. It included more women and minorities than ever at […] Read more »
Voters’ Feelings About The Debate Depended On What Issues They Care About
Coming out of Tuesday’s debate, we are obviously interested in which candidates had a good night and which failed to resonate with voters. But we are also interested in taking a deeper look into where these changes in support are coming from. For instance, what did voters who prioritize wealth […] Read more »