Suddenly there appear to be several late entrants in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. The most serious so far is former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg who has filed for the ballot in Alabama and Arkansas and who intends to skip the early contests in Iowa, New Hampshire, […] Read more »
Republicans need to study the lessons of 2018 and 2019 before racing to 2020
Whenever there is a special election or an off-year one, you can count on both parties to react in a familiar fashion. They focus on the bright spots and dismiss losses by telling us, “Don’t read too much into it.” Last Tuesday’s elections were a mixed bag for Republicans with […] Read more »
‘Incomprehensible’ Numbers: How Republicans Are Losing N.Y. Suburbs
Well before Representative Peter King announced that he would retire next year, enough evidence existed that his prospects for re-election on Long Island as a Republican were narrowing. Like so many suburban areas around the country, Long Island is undergoing a profound political shift, a transformation evident in the voter […] Read more »
Poll finds negative views of Democrats’ and Trump’s handling of impeachment inquiry
Congressional Democrats and Republicans each appear to face a challenge moving public opinion on impeachment as public hearings begin, since many Americans say their views are already locked in. There’s been essentially no change in the number who feel President Trump deserves to be impeached since last month, and now […] Read more »
The picture in Iowa just got muddier, not clearer
For all of the legitimate (and occasionally overblown) hand-wringing about “horse race” coverage of national politics, it is a lamentable fact that horse racing generally offers a good analogy for polling. … On Tuesday afternoon, Monmouth University gave us a new snapshot of the race for the Democratic presidential nomination […] Read more »
Democrats Need to Mind the Gap Between Their Base and Swing Voters
Sometimes things can seem contradictory but are not necessarily so. A variety of polls released this week on the 2020 presidential race painted very different pictures of President Trump’s odds for reelection, depending on how narrowly they zoomed in on the electorate. CONT. Charlie Cook Read more »